ESC Madrid vs Serendipity Valdemorillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
11.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+123%
-90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESC Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
ESC
1 - 1
VDO
75%
13%
12%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ESC
0 - 1
ROB
39%
20%
41%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
RVP
2 - 2
ESC
18%
18%
65%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ESC
1 - 1
ESC
36%
21%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
NVP
2 - 1
ESC
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Serendipity Valdemorillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
UVP
2 - 1
SER
51%
19%
30%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SER
2 - 2
VIL
10%
13%
78%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
INT
3 - 0
SER
50%
20%
30%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SER
0 - 1
VNA
57%
19%
24%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
RBR
6 - 1
SER
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |