X Aranga vs Ponte Carreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.7%
16%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+225%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
X Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ORD
2 - 1
ARA
50%
21%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
5 - 1
VCF
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
VOR
0 - 0
ARA
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Carreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PCA
0 - 1
ORD
19%
18%
63%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
VCF
1 - 2
PCA
34%
21%
45%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PCA
1 - 4
VOR
46%
23%
31%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MER
0 - 7
PCA
43%
21%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PCA
0 - 5
MAR
27%
24%
49%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |