X Aranga vs Ozacesuras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+113%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
X Aranga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CUR
0 - 1
ARA
46%
22%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARA
11%
15%
74%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 0
MAR
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MES
0 - 4
ARA
8%
14%
78%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
SXU
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ozacesuras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OZA
2 - 1
PER
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
OZA
1 - 0
ATL
56%
19%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIS
0 - 0
OZA
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
OZA
2 - 1
VOR
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PCA
0 - 2
OZA
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | 0 |