Tercera Playoffs . Final
Global 2-2
CD Vitoria vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Vitoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
CDV
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
CDV
3 - 0
ATL
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CDV
0 - 0
AZU
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
AZU
0 - 0
CDV
61%
20%
19%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
RSO
0 - 1
CDV
33%
26%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
AST
4 - 1
TRO
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 1
AST
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
AST
1 - 0
ALG
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
AST
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
AST
10%
20%
71%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |