CD Villacarrillo vs At. Marbella Paraíso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
26.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+76%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
UDS
1 - 2
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDR
65%
20%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 2
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
CHU
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LOJ
2 - 0
VIL
39%
24%
37%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
At. Marbella Paraíso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
4 - 2
BEN
61%
21%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 2
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 1
CDC
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CUE
1 - 1
ATM
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ALH
2 - 2
ATM
35%
24%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |