CD Villacarrillo vs At. Marbella Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Villacarrillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
UDS
1 - 2
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
0 - 0
CDR
63%
20%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 2
VIL
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
2 - 0
CHU
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
LOJ
2 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
At. Marbella Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
4 - 2
BEN
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 2
ATM
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
2 - 1
CDC
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CUE
1 - 1
ATM
39%
24%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ALH
2 - 2
ATM
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |