Villa de Simancas B vs A. Peñafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+216%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa de Simancas B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
4 - 0
REN
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
ATL
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
2 - 3
VIL
12%
18%
70%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 1
TUD
67%
18%
15%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 5
VIL
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
ZAR
63%
19%
18%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
5 - 0
REN
22%
21%
57%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARR
49%
22%
30%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
TUD
2 - 0
ATL
66%
18%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
5 - 1
JUV
46%
23%
32%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |