CD Velilla vs Carrion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13%
10.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Velilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JOP
5 - 6
CDV
12%
14%
73%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CDV
11 - 3
UDA
85%
10%
6%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CER
1 - 3
CDV
61%
18%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDV
0 - 3
MON
42%
22%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GRI
1 - 5
CDV
15%
15%
71%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Carrion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 1
SAL
44%
23%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
VIL
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
JOP
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 2
CAR
23%
20%
56%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |