Varea B vs Real Bethlehem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varea B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 2
VAR
29%
23%
49%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ILO
1 - 3
VAR
13%
17%
71%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
5 - 3
TDN
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
PRA
4 - 1
VAR
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIL
42%
21%
37%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RBF
3 - 1
ILO
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TDN
3 - 3
RBF
30%
22%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 5
PRA
13%
16%
71%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
7 - 0
RBF
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 2
CDB
27%
20%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |