Valeranica vs Arcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-151%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valeranica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
NAV
0 - 0
VAL
52%
21%
28%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
ABE
44%
23%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
VAL
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 2
VAL
46%
22%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
NAV
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ARC
0 - 5
NOR
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
EST
3 - 2
ARC
38%
22%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
ARC
9%
15%
77%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VIS
2 - 2
ARC
11%
16%
73%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ARC
3 - 0
ABE
74%
16%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |