CD Urda vs Carranque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Urda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ILL
4 - 0
URD
74%
17%
10%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
URD
0 - 1
AZU
17%
21%
63%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
URD
1 - 2
T66
33%
25%
42%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SON
4 - 1
URD
55%
22%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
URD
1 - 2
TOR
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carranque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
VIL
6%
16%
77%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 1
CAR
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
YUN
2 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
CDE
14%
19%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 1
CAR
85%
12%
4%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |