Tercera Playoffs . Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Unionistas CF vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unionistas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 0
UNI
21%
23%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 3
NUM
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BEC
1 - 5
UNI
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
0 - 2
UNI
14%
21%
66%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAL
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
MON
0 - 2
DBN
18%
25%
57%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
DBN
4 - 0
AMA
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
DBN
17%
25%
58%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DBN
2 - 1
EMD
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 1
DBN
18%
25%
57%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |