CD Tolox vs Guaro Atletic Ass. Dva. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
41.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+94%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Tolox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
MLL
6 - 0
TOL
69%
16%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
TOL
39%
21%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
JTB
4 - 0
TOL
82%
11%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TOL
3 - 1
OSO
49%
20%
31%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
TOL
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guaro Atletic Ass. Dva.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
CES
51%
19%
30%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 3
CDM
35%
21%
45%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
EST
5 - 1
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 2
PEN
10%
14%
77%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
UDE
64%
18%
18%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |