CD Toledo vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
DBN
5 - 0
CDT
63%
18%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PUE
2 - 0
CDT
83%
10%
7%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
CDT
0 - 1
TOM
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
GUA
2 - 1
CDT
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
CDT
0 - 0
EXT
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ARA
0 - 1
MAN
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ARA
0 - 1
GIM
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ALC
1 - 0
ARA
52%
21%
27%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ARA
1 - 0
CDB
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
VIL
0 - 4
ARA
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |