CD Toledo vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
PUL
2 - 1
CDT
85%
9%
6%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 1
GUA
86%
8%
6%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
UBC
0 - 1
CDT
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CUA
4 - 2
CDT
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDG
78%
12%
10%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
RAY
0 - 1
CUA
79%
12%
9%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
UDG
1 - 4
RAY
77%
13%
10%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
RAY
0 - 0
CDS
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
LEG
1 - 3
RAY
89%
7%
4%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
RAY
4 - 2
ARA
43%
23%
33%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +3 |