CD Toledo vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
CDT
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
CDT
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CDT
0 - 0
FUE
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GET
1 - 4
CDT
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CDT
1 - 3
UDS
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
GER
1 - 0
ARE
40%
28%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
GER
0 - 0
SES
31%
28%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SDA
1 - 0
GER
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
GER
0 - 5
RUN
25%
29%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
RSO
2 - 1
GER
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |