Copa del Rey . 1/256
Global 1-4
CD Toledo vs Gimnástico de Alcázar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
ROB
1 - 1
CDT
72%
17%
10%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
GIM
1 - 0
CDT
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
CDT
1 - 0
CAM
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
UDS
2 - 1
CDT
22%
27%
51%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
CDT
2 - 1
GIM
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1992 |
GIM
2 - 0
PED
73%
18%
8%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1992 |
GIM
1 - 0
CDT
36%
26%
38%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
VIL
2 - 1
GIM
39%
30%
32%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
GIM
3 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
18%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1992 |
CDT
2 - 1
GIM
76%
17%
7%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |