Thader vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+173%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 2
THD
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
THD
0 - 2
IND
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 0
THD
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
THD
1 - 2
CAL
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ELD
3 - 2
THD
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
BEN
24%
25%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
24%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ORI
3 - 1
VIL
64%
18%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
IND
10%
17%
74%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SFF
0 - 2
VIL
68%
19%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |