Thader vs Contestano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIJ
0 - 1
THD
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
THD
0 - 1
ALM
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
THD
71%
17%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 0
THD
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
THD
1 - 2
PIN
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Contestano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CTS
5 - 2
ALB
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 2
CTS
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CTS
0 - 1
ALI
60%
21%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIJ
2 - 0
CTS
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CTS
1 - 2
ALM
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |