Thader B vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 3
THA
63%
17%
21%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
THA
0 - 3
BIG
9%
15%
75%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
RED
5 - 0
THA
70%
16%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MON
0 - 4
SPO
39%
21%
41%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 1
CIU
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RAV
10 - 1
SPO
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ALG
2 - 1
SPO
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALT
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |