Técnico Universitario vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
0 - 1
PEÑ
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
TEC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 0
TEC
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
TEC
79%
12%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEC
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
61%
24%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
3 - 0
NAC
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 0
TEC
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |