La Serena vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
PUE
2 - 3
DLS
34%
25%
41%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
DLS
2 - 1
SWA
51%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
OHI
3 - 2
DLS
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
COB
2 - 2
DLS
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DLS
1 - 2
HUA
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 2
ANT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
EVE
1 - 2
UCO
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
UCO
1 - 0
COB
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2006 |
UCO
2 - 1
CSL
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
UNI
1 - 0
UCO
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |