Copa Chile 1/16

Global 2-2

La Serena vs U. Católica analysis

La Serena U. Católica
59 ELO 79
-0.9% Tilt 0%
1128º General ELO ranking 1044º
14º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
11.7%
La Serena
17.7%
Draw
70.6%
U. Católica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
La Serena
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.6%
Win probability
U. Católica
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO progression

La Serena
U. Católica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Serena
La Serena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jun. 2019
USF
Unión San Felipe
1 - 1
La Serena
DLS
39%
27%
33%
57 57 0 0
26 May. 2019
DLS
La Serena
2 - 0
Rangers Talca
CSD
52%
25%
23%
57 55 2 0
19 May. 2019
SAN
Santiago Morning
0 - 0
La Serena
DLS
46%
25%
29%
57 56 1 0
11 May. 2019
DLS
La Serena
0 - 0
Santiago Wanderers
SWA
30%
26%
44%
57 63 6 0
04 May. 2019
DSC
Deportes Santa Cruz
1 - 3
La Serena
DLS
47%
25%
27%
56 57 1 +1

Matches

U. Católica
U. Católica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2019
UCO
U. Católica
3 - 2
Independiente del Valle
IVT
47%
25%
28%
79 81 2 0
24 May. 2019
IVT
Independiente del Valle
5 - 0
U. Católica
UCO
45%
25%
30%
80 80 0 -1
18 May. 2019
UCO
U. Católica
5 - 1
Antofagasta
ANT
61%
23%
17%
79 72 7 +1
12 May. 2019
CSL
Cobresal
0 - 2
U. Católica
UCO
16%
22%
62%
79 62 17 0
09 May. 2019
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
U. Católica
UCO
61%
20%
19%
80 86 6 -1