La Serena vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
DLS
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
DLS
0 - 0
COB
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
DLS
1 - 1
DEP
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAG
2 - 0
DLS
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
DLS
4 - 0
EVE
23%
25%
53%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
IBE
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
PUE
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CON
5 - 2
NUB
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CSD
1 - 0
CON
48%
25%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
CON
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |