San Marcelino vs L. Alfafar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcelino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 2
MAR
27%
21%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
SDS
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 3
MAR
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
CAT
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 3
MAR
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
L. Alfafar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 1
BEN
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 3
LEV
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
LEV
0 - 3
PIC
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
SIL
3 - 1
LEV
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
LEV
1 - 4
ALM
21%
20%
60%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |