CD San Lorenzo vs Alfaro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-81%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
CDS
3 - 1
SDS
49%
21%
31%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BAÑ
4 - 3
CDS
77%
14%
9%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CDS
0 - 1
NAX
21%
21%
58%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
CDA
2 - 0
CDS
27%
21%
53%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SDS
2 - 5
CDS
34%
21%
45%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alfaro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 3
VIL
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 3
CDA
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
SDS
1 - 1
CFC
21%
19%
60%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CFC
2 - 4
BAÑ
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NAX
2 - 2
CFC
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |