San Esteban vs Tardelcuende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Esteban
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
COL
3 - 1
EST
90%
7%
3%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CDC
5 - 0
EST
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EST
0 - 2
CAL
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
TUR
0 - 1
EST
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tardelcuende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
TAR
1 - 3
UXA
17%
22%
61%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 0
TAR
46%
23%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CFB
3 - 1
TAR
74%
16%
11%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
TAR
0 - 1
COL
11%
18%
72%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
TAR
3 - 0
PAL
24%
25%
51%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |