Real de Minas vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
RDM
2 - 1
RSO
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VID
3 - 1
RDM
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
RES
1 - 1
RDM
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 1
RDM
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
RDM
2 - 0
MAR
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 0
HNP
80%
13%
6%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
HNP
84%
13%
4%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 5
MOT
9%
20%
71%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
JAG
0 - 1
HNP
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 2
RSO
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |