Plaza Amador II vs Alianza II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
9º
5º
18
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 5 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plaza Amador II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
CDP
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 0
CDE
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
CDP
1 - 0
TFC
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 1
CDP
27%
24%
50%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 3
CDP
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
TFC
22%
23%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 0
AFC
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
PCF
0 - 1
AFC
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 0
AFC
67%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 3
CDP
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |