CD Olimpia vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
4º
1º
13
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 2
OLI
15%
24%
60%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 2
OLI
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 1
JAG
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 3
VID
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 1
HNP
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 1
VIC
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
HNP
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |