CD Numancia vs Motril CF C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1017%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 7
CDN
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CDN
0 - 4
GRN
30%
21%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 1
CDN
17%
18%
65%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CDN
2 - 1
CFL
38%
22%
41%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CDN
2 - 0
CUL
51%
20%
29%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Motril CF C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CFM
2 - 2
UDL
43%
21%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CDB
9 - 1
CFM
66%
17%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CFM
0 - 5
IGR
18%
19%
63%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
GSR
4 - 3
CFM
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
CFM
0 - 5
GRN
11%
16%
73%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |