Murada vs Atlético Catral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
2 - 0
CAM
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ALM
1 - 1
MUR
49%
22%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MUR
3 - 1
SPO
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
3 - 0
MUR
39%
23%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
2 - 2
MUR
44%
23%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Catral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 5
MON
54%
21%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAM
0 - 1
ATL
44%
23%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 3
BFL
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALM
2 - 4
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BEN
1 - 1
ATL
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |