Mozoncillo vs R. Villacastin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
5 - 0
MOZ
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MOZ
2 - 1
CAN
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SEG
1 - 3
MOZ
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +3 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 2
ESP
10%
17%
73%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MOZ
1 - 1
CAR
33%
23%
44%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
R. Villacastin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
RAC
63%
19%
17%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 2
SPO
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
0 - 2
RAC
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 2
SEG
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
RAC
35%
23%
42%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |