Honduran Cup Quarter-finals

Global 1-1

FC Motagua vs Juticalpa FC analysis

FC Motagua Juticalpa FC
73 ELO 64
11.7% Tilt -4.7%
1244º General ELO ranking 2446º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
73.4%
FC Motagua
15.8%
Draw
10.8%
Juticalpa FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
FC Motagua
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.8%
Win probability
Juticalpa FC
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Motagua
+25%
-40%
Juticalpa FC

ELO progression

FC Motagua
Juticalpa FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Motagua
FC Motagua
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2016
MOT
FC Motagua
1 - 1
CDyS Vida
VID
69%
19%
12%
73 62 11 0
21 Feb. 2016
MOT
FC Motagua
2 - 0
Juticalpa FC
JUT
69%
19%
12%
73 64 9 0
17 Feb. 2016
JUT
Juticalpa FC
0 - 0
FC Motagua
MOT
34%
25%
42%
73 64 9 0
13 Feb. 2016
HNP
Honduras Progreso
1 - 2
FC Motagua
MOT
43%
28%
29%
73 67 6 0
07 Feb. 2016
MOT
FC Motagua
3 - 3
CD Real Sociedad
RSO
65%
21%
14%
73 65 8 0

Matches

Juticalpa FC
Juticalpa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2016
JUT
Juticalpa FC
2 - 0
Platense FC
PLA
52%
26%
22%
63 60 3 0
21 Feb. 2016
MOT
FC Motagua
2 - 0
Juticalpa FC
JUT
69%
19%
12%
64 73 9 -1
17 Feb. 2016
JUT
Juticalpa FC
0 - 0
FC Motagua
MOT
34%
25%
42%
64 73 9 0
13 Feb. 2016
MAR
CD Marathón
2 - 0
Juticalpa FC
JUT
45%
27%
28%
65 64 1 -1
07 Feb. 2016
JUT
Juticalpa FC
2 - 1
CD Olimpia
OLI
31%
29%
40%
64 74 10 +1