FC Motagua vs Lobos de la UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
RSO
3 - 3
MOT
21%
25%
54%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
OLI
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 0
MOT
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
VIC
0 - 1
MOT
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 0
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
RES
5 - 3
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 0
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 0
HNP
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 1
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VID
1 - 1
JAG
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |