CD Móstoles vs CUC Villalba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
7º
31
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 69% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 1
CDM
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 0
POZ
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GET
1 - 3
CDM
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 1
CDE
59%
22%
20%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 0
CDM
14%
22%
64%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
CUC Villalba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CVI
2 - 4
RMA
13%
17%
70%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CVI
2 - 1
CAN
47%
24%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
POZ
0 - 0
CVI
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CVI
0 - 6
GET
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CDE
0 - 1
CVI
64%
20%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |