Monzon vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monzon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 3
MON
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 5
CER
23%
21%
56%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TEL
1 - 0
MON
27%
22%
51%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
AMI
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
MON
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
GUI
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CER
3 - 5
CAS
75%
15%
11%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
TEL
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AMI
0 - 2
CAS
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 0
JUA
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |