Monte Carlo vs Sporting Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
LUL
4 - 1
MCA
30%
20%
50%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 0
HSA
61%
18%
20%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 0
TCK
58%
19%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CHF
1 - 0
MCA
43%
20%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
MCA
3 - 1
PSP
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Sporting Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 4
BEN
29%
20%
51%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CPO
2 - 1
SMA
65%
17%
19%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
PSP
3 - 0
SMA
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 2
CPK
40%
22%
39%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
PSP
1 - 0
SMA
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +2 |