Monte Carlo vs Hoi Fan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
19%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 0
GDA
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
PSP
0 - 0
MCA
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 1
MCA
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2010 |
MAC
6 - 1
MCA
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
GLP
1 - 1
MCA
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 0
HFM
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
HFM
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HFM
1 - 8
WAK
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
HFM
2 - 7
FCP
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
HFM
6 - 4
GDA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |