Monte Carlo vs Hoi Fan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
MCA
1 - 1
FCP
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GDA
2 - 2
MCA
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
KTM
1 - 2
MCA
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MCA
2 - 0
VLM
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GLP
2 - 2
MCA
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2010 |
VLM
0 - 4
HFM
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
HFM
2 - 3
MAC
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
HFM
1 - 4
WAK
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
PSP
1 - 1
HFM
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
WAK
6 - 1
HFM
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |