Monte Carlo vs Lam Pak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
26%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LLM
2 - 10
MCA
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
HNM
0 - 8
MCA
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
HFM
1 - 6
MCA
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 12
MCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 1
PSP
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lam Pak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
FCP
1 - 0
GLP
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 1
GLP
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
WAK
4 - 2
GLP
53%
21%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
GLP
3 - 1
PSP
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
GLP
5 - 2
LLM
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |