Monte Carlo vs CSL Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CPK
4 - 2
MCA
49%
20%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MCA
4 - 0
LAI
74%
14%
13%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
WAK
2 - 0
MCA
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MCA
1 - 1
SMA
64%
17%
19%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
PSP
1 - 2
MCA
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
HWA
2 - 3
BEN
18%
17%
65%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 2
AIR
59%
19%
22%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
BEN
9 - 0
ALF
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CHF
0 - 7
BEN
47%
20%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
HSA
1 - 5
BEN
42%
21%
38%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |