Monte Carlo vs Cheng Fung analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
MCA
1 - 3
HSA
83%
10%
7%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CPK
3 - 0
MCA
67%
17%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
HSA
1 - 3
MCA
16%
19%
65%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
CPK
3 - 2
MCA
70%
16%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2019 |
SMA
3 - 3
MCA
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cheng Fung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 0
CHF
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CHF
5 - 0
LUL
64%
17%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
CHF
1 - 2
WAK
60%
18%
23%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
CHF
4 - 1
MAC
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
CHF
5 - 2
CDT
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |