Monte Carlo vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
26.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-105%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
HSA
0 - 3
MCA
31%
21%
49%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
TCK
3 - 1
MCA
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 4
CHF
42%
22%
35%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
MCA
0 - 6
BEN
34%
20%
46%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MCA
1 - 1
CPO
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
LUL
0 - 5
BEN
22%
17%
61%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
LUL
0 - 6
CPK
28%
19%
54%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CPO
1 - 3
LUL
58%
17%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
LUL
1 - 1
PSP
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LUL
1 - 2
SMA
47%
21%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |