CD Melipilla vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DSC
2 - 1
CDM
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 2
DLI
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 0
CDM
46%
25%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CDM
2 - 1
TRA
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
OVA
1 - 0
CDM
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NTA
4 - 0
TRA
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
OVA
2 - 1
NTA
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
NTA
3 - 1
CHG
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SAU
2 - 1
NTA
54%
25%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
NTA
0 - 1
LOT
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |