CD Melipilla vs Colchagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NTA
1 - 2
CDM
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 0
TRA
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
DSC
1 - 0
CDM
54%
24%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 0
LOT
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
CAU
2 - 1
CDM
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colchagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
PIN
5 - 1
CHG
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CHG
0 - 0
MAL
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 0
CHG
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CHG
2 - 1
TRA
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DSC
0 - 2
CHG
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |