Clausura Honduras . Jor. 3

CD Marathón vs CD Génesis analysis

CD Marathón CD Génesis
74 ELO 20
3.7% Tilt -2.2%
786º General ELO ranking 8793º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
75.4%
CD Marathón
16.9%
Draw
7.7%
CD Génesis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
CD Marathón
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.7%
Win probability
CD Génesis
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
CD Marathón
+3%
+218%
CD Génesis

Points and table prediction

CD Marathón
Their league position
CD Génesis
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
27
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Marathón
35
35
100%
FC Motagua
34
34
100%
CD Olimpia
33
33
100%
Olancho FC
29
29
100%
CD Génesis
27
27
100%
Real España
24
24
100%
CD Real Sociedad
21
21
100%
CD Victoria
20
20
100%
Lobos de la UPNFM
15
15
100%
CDyS Vida
10º
10
10
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
CD Marathón
CD Génesis
Next round
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

CD Marathón
CD Génesis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

CD Marathón
CD Marathón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2024
OLI
CD Olimpia
1 - 1
CD Marathón
MAR
46%
26%
29%
74 74 0 0
20 Jan. 2024
MAR
CD Marathón
3 - 1
Lobos de la UPNFM
JAG
67%
20%
13%
74 61 13 0
09 Dec. 2023
MAR
CD Marathón
2 - 2
FC Motagua
MOT
45%
25%
30%
73 73 0 +1
07 Dec. 2023
MOT
FC Motagua
2 - 1
CD Marathón
MAR
42%
26%
32%
74 73 1 -1
25 Nov. 2023
MAR
CD Marathón
3 - 0
Lobos de la UPNFM
JAG
66%
21%
14%
73 61 12 +1

Matches

CD Génesis
CD Génesis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
VIC
CD Victoria
1 - 1
CD Génesis
CDG
77%
16%
8%
20 62 42 0
22 Jan. 2024
CDG
CD Génesis
2 - 2
CD Olimpia
OLI
16%
25%
59%
19 74 55 +1
10 Dec. 2023
OLI
CD Olimpia
2 - 0
CD Génesis
CDG
84%
11%
5%
19 73 54 0
08 Dec. 2023
CDG
CD Génesis
0 - 1
CD Olimpia
OLI
4%
10%
86%
19 73 54 0
03 Dec. 2023
CDG
CD Génesis
3 - 2
CD Real Sociedad
RSO
5%
11%
84%
18 61 43 +1
X