CD Lunda Sul vs Dragão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
14º
11º
10
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 43 |
6º
|
81.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 29 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 21 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lunda Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
REC
0 - 1
LUS
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
GDE
1 - 0
LUS
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
SRI
1 - 0
LUS
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2022 |
LUS
0 - 1
ONZ
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
1 - 1
LUS
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dragão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ASK
0 - 1
SRI
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ONZ
3 - 0
ASK
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASK
36%
30%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
INT
3 - 1
ASK
51%
27%
23%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BLU
3 - 1
ASK
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |