Lun Lok vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
62.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-123%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TCK
5 - 1
LUL
50%
21%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CPK
4 - 0
LUL
80%
11%
9%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LUL
1 - 0
SMA
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
CHF
3 - 1
LUL
58%
19%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
4 - 0
LUL
79%
12%
10%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
MCA
1 - 2
BEN
43%
21%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BMA
0 - 8
MCA
37%
21%
43%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +3 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
MCA
5 - 1
TCK
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
CPK
3 - 2
MCA
67%
16%
17%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MCA
7 - 0
SMA
49%
21%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |