CD Ursaria vs Cayón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CPC
2 - 3
URS
61%
23%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
URS
1 - 1
TAL
15%
22%
62%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CDB
1 - 1
URS
69%
20%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UDS
0 - 1
URS
43%
27%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
URS
3 - 2
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cayón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ACF
1 - 1
CAY
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CAY
1 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
48%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
CAY
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAY
0 - 0
AVI
20%
26%
54%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROB
1 - 0
CAY
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |