Cd Larrate vs Aluvión analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cd Larrate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDL
4 - 3
FAL
86%
9%
5%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 3
CDL
6%
14%
80%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
CDL
4 - 2
AZK
65%
19%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 4
CDL
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDL
4 - 0
CAM
36%
21%
42%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDA
1 - 1
ALU
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 0
CAH
51%
20%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 1
ALU
62%
18%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ALU
1 - 3
ZAR
49%
22%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 3
ALU
63%
19%
19%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |